Update on the Distribution of BTC from the Mt Gox Case. Will it affect the Market?

4 min readFeb 3, 2023

The value of the king currency could fall as the bankrupt exchange, Mt. Gox, prepares to pay its creditors in Bitcoin.

Mt. Gox, a Japanese cryptocurrency exchange, will give its creditors 142,000 Bitcoins (BTC). These creditors’ investments were frozen when the exchange filed for bankruptcy in 2014 as a result of a cyberattack that resulted in the theft of around 850,000 Bitcoins.

The trustee of Mt. Gox’s remaining money stated in a letter distributed in July that they would begin paying creditors by the end of August.

“The Rehabilitation Trustee is currently preparing to make repayments (Repayments) in accordance with the approved rehabilitation plan of which confirmation order of the Tokyo District Court (the Court) was made final and binding on November 16, 2021 (the Rehabilitation Plan).”

“As stated in the Information on Repayment Procedures dated July 6, 2022, to ensure safe and secure Repayments, the Rehabilitation Trustee, in accordance with the provisions of the Rehabilitation Plan, and with the permission of the Court, has set a period during which the assignment, transfer or succession, provision as collateral, or disposition by other means of rehabilitation claims are prohibited (the Assignment, etc. Restriction Reference Period).”

A top exchange suffered a loss.

One of the largest exchanges during the early days of Bitcoin acceptance was Mt. Gox. The exchange suffered a significant loss in February 2014. Early in February 2014, the exchange allegedly identified suspicious activity in its digital wallets and immediately banned withdrawals.

The exchange lost hundreds of thousands of Bitcoins. 650,000 to 850,000 coins were reported gone in total. The company stopped trading and prohibited withdrawals before the end of the month, which caused a 36% drop in the price of Bitcoin by the end of February when one Bitcoin was selling for about $540.

Around 200,000 Bitcoins could be moved by local and international authorities, destabilizing the market. In April 2014, the Tokyo District Court issued a liquidation order for Mt. Gox to submit a bankruptcy petition. Then, over 200,000 Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash were included in an estate that contained Mt. Gox’s assets.

Prior to the anticipated Bitcoin release, some Bitcoin had already been sold. During a creditors’ meeting in 2018, Nobuaki Kobayashi, the Mt. Gox estate trustee, sold 24,658 BTC (worth $260 million at the time).

Kobayashi disclosed the remaining Mt. Gox assets and a strategy for reimbursing investors in 2022. Creditors must submit an application and a claim to BTC, which will then be examined and compensated.

Experts predicted

The Mt. Gox recovery has been long anticipated, according to Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Giottus Crypto Platform, and it gives clients who lost their Bitcoins in the 2014 heist some solace.

Interestingly, almost 1.5 million Bitcoins are traded on exchanges daily (by volume). Given that the incident occurred when BTC was trading below $500, there will probably be some selling, but this should only have a short-term influence on pricing (maybe a week). Additionally, some institutions have purchased some claims from clients who might not be in a rush to sell, which has moderated the overall impact. We think that BTC and its prices will continue to be more impacted by macroeconomic factors than by the Mt. Gox revival. Currently, this has raised some concerns about mass dumping,” Subburaj continues.

Mt. Cox’s “huge BTC dump is a result of their efforts from 2021 to design a civil rehabilitation plan with single payouts at fixed rates for creditors,” claims Rajagopal Menon, vice president of WazirX.

The company’s trustees’ continual short-term liquidation of Bitcoin in 2018 was a factor in the BTC’s sharp decline in value. Market tension, which is currently a result of worries about major issues like war and the strength of the dollar, may subside after distribution. Since distribution is scheduled to occur over the ensuing months as creditors register for early payouts, the current market is anticipated to see a spread-out supply load of bitcoins, he explains.

He continues, “Most of the creditors are early Bitcoin investors who are aware of the transformative benefits of long-term investing in BTC, and such investors may be reluctant to register for early payments.

We are talking a lot of payment in currency and a small amount of reimbursement in bitcoin, according to Matthew Graham, CEO of venture capital firm Sino Global Capital. If reimbursement is required, there will be a 70% cash and 30% bitcoin split.

The peculiarities of the crypto community over that particular time period — 2012, 2013, 2014, and the early years — must be kept in mind, he continues. These people were the most ardent believers. You might even observe the opposite, with some cash being used to buy Bitcoin if the majority of the funding is fiat.